Search
Exact matches only
Search in title
Search in content
Search in comments
Search in excerpt
Filter by Custom Post Type
{ "homeurl": "http://rismedia.com/", "resultstype": "vertical", "resultsposition": "hover", "itemscount": 4, "imagewidth": 70, "imageheight": 70, "resultitemheight": "auto", "showauthor": 0, "showdate": 0, "showdescription": 1, "charcount": 3, "noresultstext": "No results!", "didyoumeantext": "Did you mean:", "defaultImage": "http://rismedia.com/wp-content/plugins/ajax-search-pro/img/default.jpg", "highlight": 0, "highlightwholewords": 1, "openToBlank": 0, "scrollToResults": 0, "resultareaclickable": 1, "autocomplete": { "enabled": 1, "googleOnly": 1, "lang": "en", "mobile": 1 }, "triggerontype": 1, "triggeronclick": 1, "triggeronreturn": 1, "triggerOnFacetChange": 1, "trigger": { "delay": 300, "autocomplete_delay": 310 }, "overridewpdefault": 0, "override_method": "post", "redirectonclick": 0, "redirectClickTo": "results_page", "redirect_on_enter": 0, "redirectEnterTo": "results_page", "redirect_url": "?s={phrase}", "settingsimagepos": "left", "settingsVisible": 0, "hresulthidedesc": "0", "prescontainerheight": "400px", "pshowsubtitle": "0", "pshowdesc": "1", "closeOnDocClick": 1, "iifNoImage": "description", "iiRows": 2, "iiGutter": 5, "iitemsWidth": 200, "iitemsHeight": 200, "iishowOverlay": 1, "iiblurOverlay": 1, "iihideContent": 1, "loaderLocation": "auto", "analytics": 0, "analyticsString": "", "show_more": { "url": "?s={phrase}", "action": "ajax" }, "mobile": { "trigger_on_type": 1, "trigger_on_click": 1, "hide_keyboard": 0 }, "compact": { "enabled": 1, "width": "200px", "closeOnMagnifier": 1, "closeOnDocument": 0, "position": "fixed", "overlay": 0 }, "animations": { "pc": { "settings": { "anim" : "fadedrop", "dur" : 300 }, "results" : { "anim" : "fadedrop", "dur" : 300 }, "items" : "fadeInDown" }, "mob": { "settings": { "anim" : "fadedrop", "dur" : 300 }, "results" : { "anim" : "fadedrop", "dur" : 300 }, "items" : "voidanim" } }, "autop": { "state": "disabled", "phrase": "", "count": 10 } }
Select Page

RISMEDIA, January 18, 2011—Housing will see gradual improvements in activity this year as the nation’s economy and job market continue to move to higher ground, establishing momentum that will produce more considerable gains in 2012, according to economists who appeared at the NAHB International Builders’ Show in Orlando on January 12.

“This year’s spring selling season will be better than last year’s,” said NAHB Chief Economist David Crowe, with job growth providing a stronger stimulus in the housing market than last year’s tax credits for home buyers.

Crowe forecasted 575,000 single-family home starts in 2011, a 21% climb over an estimated 475,000 units started in 2010, which in turn showed a 7% gain from the 442,000 homes started in 2009.

Multifamily, which is poised to profit from a disproportionate number of Gen Y members moving into the housing market, has seen the bottom of the cycle, he said, and will see its starts rise 16% this year to 133,000 units, with a further 53% increase in 2012 to 203,000 units.

Builders’ access to the credit they need to start new homes remains the fragile component of the NAHB forecast, Crowe said. So far, small builders have experienced extreme difficulty in obtaining financing, and rectifying the situation as soon as possible is the top priority of the association.

More encouraging is a rebound in the confidence of consumers, who mid-2010 “froze in place, faced with a lot of uncertainty,” he said. A recent pickup in durable purchases for such items as automobiles and furniture indicates that consumers are less afraid today of losing jobs and income.

The U.S. economy will receive a boost from the massive tax package enacted at the end of last year, he said, including more income going into the pockets of wage earners thanks to a one-year 2% reduction in Social Security taxes. This will contribute to the gross domestic product strengthening from the 2.5% range to 3.5% to 3.8% by year’s end.

New-home sales, Crowe projected, “will struggle” but begin following employment gains, reaching 405,000 for the year, up from an estimate of about 320,000 for 2010.

The housing recovery will start up slowly this year, he said, because it will be driven by the relatively low housing production Plains states, with Texas the most powerful of the bunch. Traditional bulwarks of housing activity such as California and Florida, on the other hand, will not be among the states whose housing markets recover the fastest.

In addition to stimulative fiscal and monetary policy, Freddie Mac Chief Economist Frank Nothaft said that housing affordability and demographic trends will help support growing housing demand.

Citing research from the Harvard Joint Center for Housing Studies, Nothaft said that households should be growing at an average annual rate of 1.2 million to 1.5 million over the next five to 10 years, suggesting the need for a sharp increase in housing production; half of the 500,000 to 600,000 starts of the past two years were needed just to replace the number of homes being removed from the housing stock.

While there will continue to be supply overhangs in some important large markets, by and large the housing price slump should bottom out by the middle of this year, he said, and price increases are already occurring in some local areas. That should attract prospective buyers who have been procrastinating until they see prices hit bottom.

“Potential buyers who have resources to buy but want to buy at the bottom are likely to start coming into the market in the springtime,” he said, which for fence sitters will be “the time to come into the market.”

Fixed-rate mortgages will move up from their current 4.75% to the 5.75% range by the end of this year, he forecasted. This will push total single-family mortgage originations down about 30% below the 2010 level as refinancings fall sharply in the face of rising mortgage rates.

While a 20% increase in housing production in 2011 is good news for housing, to put things in perspective, Nothaft said that this gain is from an extremely low level, with single-family production declining about 80% from peak to trough.

For more information, visit www.nahb.org.


Buying/Selling Consumer Luxury National Spotlights
509172408
Homeownership Still Desirable for Millennials

The majority of Americans still value homeownership, but millennials face major...

92359210
Low Supply Has Homes Selling Fast

Homes are selling an average of a week faster than they...

53_Million_One_665x350
‘53 Million and One’: Putting a Face on the Immigrant Experience in America

When the first group of Wells Fargo employees was invited to...

Agent Broker Coaching Lead Gen Teams
487575270
Don’t Miss Out: Recent Grads Bring Big Potential

Graduation season has come to an end and the celebrations have...

172222725
Standing Ahead of the Competition

What’s the recipe for real estate success? According to Ron Shuffield,...

486425970
Satisfied Clients Pave the Way to Future Success

Founded on the premise of offering agents the programs and sales...

Agent Best Practices Branding Broker Niche
La Habra, United States - July 12, 2016: Macro closeup image of pokemon go game app icon among other icons on an iphone smartphone device. Pokemon Go is a popular virtual reality game for mobile devices.
Pokémon GO for Real Estate – Must or Bust?

If you’re anything like me, your social media newsfeeds look a...

Man inputing data on laptop and holding mobile phone in another hand.
Boost Your Online Presence with More .REALTOR Options

Website addresses that end in .REALTOR provide instant recognition as a...

Person. More>>
4 Ways to Update Your Digital Persona

Your digital presence is more important than ever, and now is...

Agent Apps/Gadgets Best Practices Broker Innovation
Silhouette of business people moving and joining pieces of jigsaw puzzle on a business and stock market  blue background, with charts, diagrams, world maps and data arranged on grid and tables. World maps showing continents and countries with economy data and growth diagrams. Light glowing from the center. Copy space on bottom.
PNC Offers Online Business Insights, Webinars and Tools for Agents

Looking for the latest real estate industry information, education and networking...

Woman holding tablet
Stay Connected to Your Business When You’re on the Go

As a busy real estate professional, you’re likely most productive when...

snapchat_real_estate_665x350
Why Snapchat Is Pure Gold for REALTORS®

There is a huge amount of attention being paid to Snapchat...

Business Insights Content Generation Marketing Trends
000042086008_Double.jpg
Expanding Your Client Base through Social Media

Today’s buyer will search online at some point during the buying...

Facebook_Live_665x350
Facebook Live the Latest Trend to Infiltrate the Open House Scene

Drumming up interest in an open house may be about as...

Computer white keyboard with webinar
Beyond Likes: Move Past the Competition with a Next-Gen Social Media Strategy

Go where the competition isn’t! Move beyond Facebook with a stand-out...

Buying/Selling For Your Clients Home Improvement How-To Lifestyle
Wall_Panel_450x300
Luxury Wall Panels Take Home Décor to a Whole New Level

Looking to revamp your living space? Before you head out to...

482805813
8 Ways to Stop Worrying about Money

(TNS)—Are worries about money keeping you up at night? You’re not...

183874628
Aging in Place Calls for Strategic Planning

(TNS)—Downsizing is not an easy decision—but a smart one if you...

manhattan
RISMedia’s CEO Exchange

RISMedia’s 2016 Real Estate CEO Exchange September 13 & 14, 2016...

Capital Building, Washington
RISMedia’s Power Broker Forum at the NAR REALTORS® Legislative Meetings & Trade Expo

RISMedia’s Power Broker Forum at the REALTORS® Legislative Meetings & Trade Expo...

PB-annual
RISMedia’s Power Broker Forum, Reception & Dinner – Annual

RISMedia Power Broker Events 2016 Orlando, Fla. Friday, November 4, 2016...