For one thing, new federal lending standards take effect on Jan. 10, meaning that some borrowers will get more scrutiny and less money. The new rules will have little effect in most cases, Gudell says, since most loans already meet the new standards.
But Chapman University economist Esmael Adibi says lenders will have more leeway with the loans they plan to hold in their portfolios. Tougher standards still will apply for loans that financial institutions plan to sell to mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac or elsewhere on the “secondary” mortgage market.
“Banks are eager to boost their lending,” Adibi says. “However, rates and requirements depend on the type of financial institution (offering the mortgage).”
Commercial Recovery Remains Slow: Forecasters say vacancies will drop and rents will rise this year in office buildings, shopping centers, factories and warehouses. More deals will get done and sale prices for buildings likely will go up.
Nonetheless, the rate of recovery is expected to remain at moderate levels for commercial real estate.
Commercial real estate recovery “tends to lag broader economic growth,” says Deloitte & Touche’s 2014 outlook.
Nationally, commercial rent increases are projected in the 2.2 percent to 2.5 percent range this year, according to the National Association of REALTORS®.
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